European Union Agency for Asylum

Latest Asylum Trends: Mid-Year Review 2026

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  • Latest Asylum Trends: Mid-Year Review 2026
  • 1 Introduction
    • Key Findings
  • 2 Summary
    • PART I — Major Nationality-Driven Shifts
      • Afghans: the 2025 repeated-application surge recedes
      • Venezuelans: a reversal after record applications
      • Syrians: applications remain at historically low levels
      • Bangladeshis: many applications but low recognition rate
    • PART II — Policy developments
      • The Pact enters application: from preparation to implementation
      • Labour-market pragmatism amid political sensitivities
      • Cooperation with third countries on migration management
      • Humanitarian funding contraction and shrinking protection capacity globally
    • PART III — Interpreting recent trends
      • The Middle East: regional escalation and persistent displacement
      • Structural change or fragile lull?
      • Interpreting the 2024–2025 Decline in Applications
  • 3 Applications
    • Applications
    • Main citizenships
    • Trends
    • Destinations
    • Applications per capita
  • 4 Recognition Rates
    • Main citizenships
    • Across the EU+
    • Low RR and safe countries of origin
  • 5 Pending Cases
    • First instance
    • All instances
  • 6 Annexes
    • First instance indicators by EU+ country
    • First instance indicators for main citizenships
    • Definitions
  • 7 FAQ Latest Asylum Trends
    • Frequently Asked Questions
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EUAALatest Asylum Trends: January – June 2026

The Latest Asylum Trends is produced by EUAA’s Situational Awareness Unit (SAU) based on monthly data exchanged under the Early warning and Preparedness System (EPS). The data shared with the EUAA by EU+ countries are provisional and unvalidated and, therefore, may differ from validated data submitted to Eurostat at a later stage under Regulation (EU) 2020/851. Trends analysed here focus on the top 20 citizenships applying for asylum in the focal year.​

 

  • 1
    Introduction

    This section introduces the Latest Asylum Trends and presents the key data points stemming from the situation on asylum in the EU+ in  January –  June 2026.

  • 2
    Summary

    This section provides a summary of the underlying drivers of asylum applications in  January –  June 2026 including nationality shifts, policy developments as well as an outlook for the coming year.

  • 3
    Applications

    Trend analysis of the top 20 citizenships applying for asylum in the EU+, as well as where they were lodging their applications. This section also contains an analysis of applications per capita in each receiving country.

  • 4
    Recognition rates

    This section contains information on the recognition rates of the main citizenships, alongside an analysis of how recognition rates vary between receiving countries. It also illustrates which citizenships fell below the 20% threshold.

  • 5
    Pending cases

    Detailed analysis of the number of pending cases that are with EU+ asylum authorities awaiting decisions. This section also uses Eurostat data to estimate the total number of cases awaiting decisions, including those in appeal or review.

  • 6
    Data tables

    Annexes containing the main indicators for each EU+ reporting country and also the top 20 citizenships.

  • 7
    FAQ Latest Asylum Trends

    FAQ Key questions and answers on the latest asylum trends in the EU+, designed to provide quick, accessible insights based on the latest asylum trends data.